Limited Enthusiasm with Migration Model - Simulation

Simulation
Notes
 
Details of Models
Limited Enthusiasm 
Births, Deaths & Reversion 
Renewal
Discipleship
Membership
Migration
 
Details of Results
Summary of Results
Short Term Revival 
Long Term Growth
Long Term Decline
Growth via Renewal
Discipleship
Membership
Migration
 
References & Bibliography 
Mathematics of Church Growth
Church Growth 
Revival 
System Dynamics 
Sociology of Religion
Epidemics 
Social Diffusion


Publications
Articles
Defence of Church Growth Modelling
Contemporary Revival-Like Movements
Church Growth Model Building Series
 

Simulation

The model is written in Stella 9.1, produced by ISEE Systems. The web-based version that is embedded below is hosted by Forio Simulate.

The model can also be accessed at http://forio.com/simulate/jhayward/limenthmig.

The original Stella 9.1 model can be downloaded from http://forio.com/simulate/jhayward/limenthmig/model/download/?hard=true.


Notes

The model that loads is of revival growth taking placed in a population that is growing through migration. All the migrants are unbelievers. There is an initial burst of rapid growth followed by repeated bursts of revival growth due to the pool of susceptible unbelievers continuing to increase and tipping the church over the revival growth threshold.

Change the number of immigrant enthusiasts to 25 per year and there are no repeated bursts of revival growth just the initial one, followed by steady growth and an endemic state of enthusiasts. See the migration results page for details.
 

 

Return to Top


Return to Top

[ Home | Models | Downloads | Publications | Links | References ]
[ What's New | Results | Revival | Summary | Articles | Contact ]