Articles and Extracts From Papers

Articles
Church Growth Models
Welsh Revival 1904
Model Building
General
 
Details of Models
Limited Enthusiasm 
Births, Deaths & Reversion 
Renewal
Discipleship
Membership
 
Details of Results
Summary of Results
Short Term Revival 
Long Term Growth
Long Term Decline
Growth via Renewal
Discipleship
Membership
 
References & Bibliography 
Mathematics of Church Growth
Church Growth 
Revival 
System Dynamics 
Sociology of Religion
Epidemics 
Social Diffusion


Publications
Models for Download
Laws of Church Growth
Contemporary Revival-Like Movements
Church Growth Model Building Series

Church Growth Models

Enthusiasts in the Church Growth Models. What is an enthusiast? How do they drive the growth of the church?
 
The Alpha Course - An Example of Church Growth Through Enthusiasts. An application of the church growth models to the Alpha Course of Holy Trinty Brompton, London.
 
Tipping the Church into Growth. An article explaining the principles and results of the church growth models using the concept of tipping points. Aimed at pastors and other Christians with an interest in church growth but little knowledge of mathematics.
 
Flagship Churches . A flagship church is a church that is successful and can reproduce itself through church planting or through influencing others. Using ideas from the Limited Enthusiasm Model of church growth it is proposed that flagship church is one that can generate enthusiasts.

Welsh Revival 1904

How Did the Welsh Revival of 1904-5 Start? An examination of the background to the 1904/5 Welsh revival in the light of the limited enthusiasm model of church growth. The article is based on source material summarised in the timeline to the background of the revival.
 
Timeline of the Background to the Welsh Revival 1904-5. Notes on the build up to the 1904/5 Welsh Revival based on the various books available, including dates, where possible.
Timeline of the First Two Weeks of the Welsh Revival 1904-5. Notes on the first two weeks of 1904/5 Welsh Revival based on the various books available, including dates, where possible. This coincides with Evan Robert's first mission to Loughor, but also has a few brief references to Rhos, Ammanford and Cardiganshire. The emphasis is on how the revival spread and lines of influence.

Church Growth Model Building Series

Notes developed as part of a series on building church growth models hosted by the Cymru Institute for Contemporary Christianity (CICC), Church Growth Cafe.

More details of the series is on the Church Growth Model Building Series page. Currently there is no paper or report on the Discipleship model. These slides and the material elsewhere on the site are the only description of the work.

How to Use System Dynamics to Build a Model powerpoint, PDF. (8MB files). Use slide show to get the best effect.

Results for the supply of, and demand for, discipleship Slides on PDF

Construction of Causal Loops for the control of discipleship Slide in PDF

Outline of Discipleship Model - Final Version Slide in PDF

 

General

Defence of Church Growth Modelling. Written at the same time as the first published paper on church growth 1999. This attempts to justify why modelling church growth is a legitimate exercise without jeopardizing the Biblical beliefs of the Christian church.

Laws of Church Growth. Scholarly and anecdotal "laws" of church growth. Both to inspire and inform.

Origin of Wesley's Law. Some background to Wesley's Law of the decay of pure religion.


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