Epidemic References & Bibliography

Details of Models
Limited Enthusiasm 
Births, Deaths & Reversion 
Renewal
 
Details of Results
Summary of Results
Short Term Revival 
Long Term Growth
Long Term Decline
Growth via Renewal
 
References & Bibliography 
Mathematics of Church Growth
Church Growth 
Revival 
System Dynamics 
Sociology of Religion
Epidemics 
Social Diffusion


Publications
Articles
 
 
Anderson R.M. (1988), The Epidemiology of HIV Infection, J. Roy. Stat. Soc. A, 151 part 1.
Anderson R.M. and May R.M. (1987), Infectious Diseases in Humans : Dynamics and Control, OUP. Used extensively in the church growth models.
Bailey N.T.J. (1975), The Mathematical Theory of Infectious Diseases and its Applications, Griffen, London
Dangerfield B. & Roberts C. (1999), Optimisation as a statistical estimation tool: An example in estimating the AIDS treatment-free incubation period distribution, System Dynamics Review 15: (3) 273-291.
Hamer W. H. (1906), Epidemic Disease in England, The Lancet, i, 733-9.
Kermack W.O. and McKendrick A.G. (1927), A Contribution to the Mathematical Theory of Epidemics, Proc. Roy. Soc., A115, 700-21. The first paper on the mathematics of the spread of diseases.
May R.M. and Anderson R.M. (1985), Endemic Infections in Growing Populations, Math. Biosciences, 77, pp 141-156.
May R.M. and Anderson R.M. (1987), Transmission Dynamics of HIV Infection, Nature, 326, pp 137-142.
Raggett G.F. (1982), Modelling the Eyam Plague, Bulletin IMA, 18, pp 221-226. A readable account of how the basic epidemic model is applied to real data.


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