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Publications
online require Acrobat Reader
Simplified
extracts from these publications, and other as yet unpublsihed
work, are also available.
Journal
Publications
- Mathematical
Modeling of Church Growth, Journal of Mathematical Sociology
1999. 23(4), pp.255-292.
- A
Dynamical Model of Church Growth and its Application to Contemporary
Revivals, Review of Religious Research, 43(3), pp.218-241, March 2002. A Revised
version of the paper at the Houston 2000 conference below.
- A General Model of Church Growth and Decline , Journal of Mathematical Sociology, 29(3), pp.177-207, 2005
Conferences
- Growth
and Decline of Religious and Subcultural Groups, Appears
in "Sustainability in the Third Millennium - Proc. International
System Dynamics Soc. 2000.
- A
Dynamical Model of Church Growth and Global Revival, Technical
Report UG-M-00-4, presented at "The Annual Meeting for the
Scientific Study of Religion", Houston, Texas 18-21 October
2000
- A
Dynamical Model of Strictness and its Effect on Church Growth, Report, presented at "The Annual Meeting of the
Religious Research Association /Scientific Study of Religion",
Salt Lake City, Utah 1-3 Nov 2002.
- Revival
or Extinction - An Application of Systems Dynamics to Church
Attendance and Membership Data, Report, presented at "The Annual Meeting of the
Religious Research Association /Scientific Study of Religion",
Salt Lake City, Utah 1-3 Nov 2002.
- Church Growth via Enthusiasts, presented at OR46 "The Annual Conference of the
Operational Research Society",
York, 7-9 Sept 2004.
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Technical
Reports
- Mathematical
Modelling of Church Growth,
Technical Report, UG-M-95-3, July 1995.
- Modelling
Church Growth: A Systems Approach, Part 1, Introduction
to Church Growth, Systems Dynamics and the Unlimited Enthusiasm
Church Growth Model, Technical Report UG-M-00-1. (Updated
January 2001)
- Modelling
Church Growth: A Systems Approach, Part 2, The Unlimited
Enthusiasm Church Growth Model with Births, Deaths and Reversion,
Technical Report UG-M-00-2. (Updated January 2001)
- Modelling
Church Growth: A Systems Approach, Part 3, The Limited
Enthusiasm Church Growth Model with Births, Deaths and Reversion,
Technical Report UG-M-00-3. (Updated January 2001)
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Other
Publications
- Church
Growth - A Disease!!. Quadrant September 2000, published by Christian
Research.
- Modelling
Church Growth - Mathematically, Church Growth Digest, 23(1) pp.3-5,
2001. British Church Growth Association.
- Passing
on the Faith. Quadrant March 2002, published by Christian Research.
- Can the Church be Tipped into Growth? Quadrant May 2006, published by Christian Research.
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Further
Information on Systems Dynamics
A
number of the above papers use the systems dynamics methodology.
Further information about systems dynamics can be found at:
The Systems
Dynamics Society
Systems Dynamics
in Education at MIT
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Contact
Details
All
online publications are available at the Modelling web pages at University of Glamorgan.
Copies of publications not online (due to copyright reasons)
are available by post.
Postal
and phone contact is via the Division of Mathematics and Statistics
at the University of Glamorgan, details at division's research page.
email:
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