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Publications
Publications
Publications online require Acrobat Reader
Simplified extracts from these publications, and other as yet unpublsihed work, are also available.
Journal Publications
- Mathematical
Modeling of Church Growth, Journal of Mathematical Sociology
1999. 23(4), pp.255-292.
- Available from the author at the address below.
- Explanatory Notes on "Mathematical Modeling of Church Growth, Version 1.1, 2000. A useful explanation for the above paper, especially for those not familiar with mathematics.
- A Dynamical Model of Church Growth and its Application to Contemporary Revivals, Review of Religious Research, 43(3), pp.218-241, March 2002. A Revised version of the paper at the Houston 2000 conference below.
- A General Model of Church Growth and Decline , Journal of Mathematical Sociology, 29(3), pp.177-207, 2005
Conferences
- Growth
and Decline of Religious and Subcultural Groups, Appears
in "Sustainability in the Third Millennium - Proc. International
System Dynamics Soc. 2000.
- The Introduction to Systems Dynamics for this paper might be useful for those who are not familiar with the systems dynamical method used in the paper.
- A Dynamical Model of Church Growth and Global Revival, Technical Report UG-M-00-4, presented at "The Annual Meeting for the Scientific Study of Religion", Houston, Texas 18-21 October 2000
- A Dynamical Model of Strictness and its Effect on Church Growth, Report, presented at "The Annual Meeting of the Religious Research Association /Scientific Study of Religion", Salt Lake City, Utah 1-3 Nov 2002.
- Revival or Extinction - An Application of Systems Dynamics to Church Attendance and Membership Data, Report, presented at "The Annual Meeting of the Religious Research Association /Scientific Study of Religion", Salt Lake City, Utah 1-3 Nov 2002.
- Church Growth via Enthusiasts, presented at OR46 "The Annual Conference of the Operational Research Society", York, 7-9 Sept 2004.
- Modelling Church Growth - Micro and Macro Models , presented at various meetings: COST MP0801 WG1 Competition of Beliefs, Jan 2009; Wales Mathematics Colloquium, Gregynog Wales, May 2008; SD+50, London School of Economics Dec 2007.
- Effective Evangelisation, slides from a talk given at "Challenge to Change: exploring strategies for an effective Church in a post-Christian landscape", June 2009.
- Annotated slides on An Introduction to Model Building in System Dynamics. Also in the form of a powerpoint presentation (8MB files). Developed as part of a series on building church growth models hosted by the Cymru Institute for Contemporary Christianity, Church Growth Cafe, May 2010.
- Will appear soon. Church Growth via Enthusiasts and Renewal. To be presented at the International Conference of the System Dynamics Society July 2010.
Technical Reports
- Mathematical Modelling of Church Growth, Technical Report, UG-M-95-3, July 1995.
- Modelling Church Growth: A Systems Approach, Part 1, Introduction to Church Growth, Systems Dynamics and the Unlimited Enthusiasm Church Growth Model, Technical Report UG-M-00-1. (Updated January 2001)
- Modelling Church Growth: A Systems Approach, Part 2, The Unlimited Enthusiasm Church Growth Model with Births, Deaths and Reversion, Technical Report UG-M-00-2. (Updated January 2001)
- Modelling Church Growth: A Systems Approach, Part 3, The Limited Enthusiasm Church Growth Model with Births, Deaths and Reversion, Technical Report UG-M-00-3. (Updated January 2001)
Other Publications
- Church Growth - A Disease!!. Quadrant September 2000, published by Christian Research.
- Modelling Church Growth - Mathematically, Church Growth Digest, 23(1) pp.3-5, 2001. British Church Growth Association.
- Passing on the Faith. Quadrant March 2002, published by Christian Research.
- Can the Church be Tipped into Growth? Quadrant May 2006, published by Christian Research.
Further Information on Systems Dynamics
A number of the above papers use the systems dynamics methodology. Further information about systems dynamics can be found at:
Road Maps: A Guide to Learning System Dynamics Part of the MIT System Dynamics in Education Project, the Creative Learning Exchange. See also the Guided Study Program.
Contact Details
Copies of publications not online (due to copyright reasons) are available by post.
Postal and phone contact is via the Division of Mathematics and Statistics at the University of Glamorgan, details at personal page.
email:
